Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000989 0.001129 0.001270 0.001421 0.001579 0.001738 0.001910
2026-01-11 0.000767 0.000969 0.001178 0.001409 0.001655 0.001907 0.002185
2026-01-18 0.000595 0.000839 0.001102 0.001399 0.001722 0.002058 0.002433
2026-01-25 0.000420 0.000687 0.000987 0.001336 0.001723 0.002133 0.002594
2026-02-01 0.000300 0.000583 0.000914 0.001311 0.001759 0.002239 0.002785
2026-02-08 0.000216 0.000510 0.000871 0.001314 0.001821 0.002370 0.002999
2026-02-15 0.000154 0.000454 0.000842 0.001328 0.001892 0.002507 0.003217
2026-02-22 0.000108 0.000412 0.000825 0.001353 0.001972 0.002653 0.003442
2026-03-01 0.000059 0.000353 0.000781 0.001343 0.002010 0.002749 0.003609
2026-03-08 0.000020 0.000288 0.000723 0.001310 0.002018 0.002809 0.003734
2026-03-15 0.000003 0.000253 0.000701 0.001320 0.002074 0.002922 0.003917
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000208 0.000661 0.001304 0.002098 0.002995 0.004053
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000162 0.000626 0.001309 0.002163 0.003137 0.004291
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000114 0.000579 0.001296 0.002209 0.003257 0.004506
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000075 0.000536 0.001286 0.002257 0.003381 0.004726
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000029 0.000460 0.001225 0.002239 0.003426 0.004856
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000413 0.001202 0.002266 0.003522 0.005041
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000386 0.001204 0.002323 0.003653 0.005267
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000368 0.001217 0.002394 0.003798 0.005506
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001242 0.002477 0.003957 0.005762
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001232 0.002515 0.004061 0.005952
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001200 0.002523 0.004127 0.006098
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000271 0.001210 0.002584 0.004258 0.006316